McClellan Financial Publications

Time 2021-01-04 13:04:21

Web Name: McClellan Financial Publications

WebSite: http://www.mcoscillator.com

ID:156345

Keywords:

McClellan,Financial,Publications,

Description:

Pull the trigger with confidence. We look deeper into market trends. Our analysis puts our readers ahead of price movements... and ahead of the public. For over 40 years, institutional investors and individual traders have relied on our forecasts. Get the edge you've been missing. Subscribe Now McClellan Market Report The Daily Edition COT Data for Canadian Dollar Has Message for Oil Sometimes it is not about what you know, but who you listen to. And if you learn to get answers from unusual places where no one else is looking, that can be the most useful information of all. The value of the Canadian dollar versus the US dollar has long been known to fluctuate in sympathy with oil prices. That makes sense, because the Canadian oil sands have long been a big source of overall North American oil production. The economics of that type of extraction took a big hit with... Read More Bitcoin as Messenger A lot of people look at Bitcoin as a great trading vehicle, and good for them (the ones who have been long this year). But Bitcoin prices have another value, as a messenger about what is coming for the stock market. I looked at this relationship here back in January 2018, and again in May 2018, examining how the movements of Bitcoin prices were showing up after a varying lag time in the movements of the stock market. Back then, the lag time was anywhere from 49-56 calendar days. The... Read More Fosback Absolute Breadth Ratio Says This Is Not A Top To get an important price top, you usually need to see the Advance-Decline (A-D) numbers quiet down. We do not have that condition now, and thus we likely are not seeing the conditions for an important price top (yet). The Fosback Absolute Breadth Ratio was created decades ago by Norman Fosback. It ignores whether the A-D difference is positive or negative, and focuses just on the size of it. The absolute value of the daily A-D difference is normalized by dividing by A+D (to adjust for... Read More Gold Prices and Full Moons Several years ago, I undertook a project, intent upon proving that there was no possible relationship between gold prices and full moons as some other analysts had asserted. I confess that I failed in that effort, because it became pretty clear quite quickly that there was indeed a relationship between the two. The frustrating part is that defining exactly what that relationship is remains elusive. Full moon dates pretty reliably mark important points for gold prices. But those points... Read More Bumpy Price Oscillator in GDM There is more information in the plot of a McClellan Price Oscillator than just up or down, high or low. Looking at its structures can give us additional information about the strength of a trend. This week s chart looks at the AMEX Gold Miners Index, GDM. It is showing us things right now which make for a good opportunity for a lesson about Price Oscillator structures. The Price Oscillator for the GDM is falling right now, but there is more information in its chart plot than just up... Read More Post El Ni o Cooling Means a Bottom Soon For Bond Yields A peak in global average temperatures in 2015-16 is foretelling a bottom for long term bond yields. But to understand that point, I need to explain this week s chart. It shows an inverted plot of Moody s Aaa corporate bond yield, with proxy data for the years before Moody s began that series in 1919. Also in that chart is a plot of the HadCRUT4 global average temperature series, published by England s Hadley Climate Research Unit, at the University of East Anglia. One key adjustment is... Read More Stocks and Polls - Different This Time? Since the 2000 election, I have done comparisons of presidential poll numbers and the stock market, which have provided useful insights about how the election was going to turn out. This year, I am not so sure about it working as it has in the past, and for a variety of reasons. This week s leadoff chart (and I have a bunch more below) compares the DJIA to the Rasmussen poll numbers for the election matchup between President Trump and former Vice President Biden. For most of this year,... Read More VIX Open Interest Says This is Not a Top The VIX futures contract is a comparatively new product in the financial markets, first traded in March 2004. It has come to be an important product, especially for hedge funds who like to make bets with VIX futures. And in 2020, it is behaving in a way that is quite unusual, and thus worthy of comment. VIX futures first traded in 2004, but did not catch on as a meaningful part of the financial markets until 2012. That was when VIX futures first exceeded 200,000 contracts, and so it is a... Read More The McClellan Oscillator Created 1969, the McClellan Oscillator is recognized by technical analysts as the essential tool for measuring acceleration in the stock market. Using advance-decline statistics, it gives overbought and oversold indications, divergences, and measurements of the power of a move.

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