Karim Khan, prosecutor of the ICC.

All Eyes on The Hague: The ICC Prosecutor’s Move against Hamas and Israeli Leaders

The ICC prosecutor has said he is seeking arrest warrants for top Hamas and Israeli figures in connection with crimes committed since 7 October 2023. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Brian Finucane, Stephen Pomper and Mairav Zonszein examine the legal and political implications.

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Crisis Watch map April 2024

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

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Trends for Last Month April 2024

Improved Situations

Venezuela

Outlook for This Month May 2024

Conflict Risk Alerts

Myanmar Israel/Palestine Lebanon Sudan

Resolution Opportunities

None

The Israeli military campaign in the Gaza Strip has pushed many of its residents to the edge of death from starvation and disease. Only a prolonged ceasefire accompanied by a massive aid operation can improve the situation enough to avoid a horrific toll.

Two years after Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine, Washington is struggling to maintain support for Kyiv. A new assistance package is stuck in Congress. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Sarah Harrison explains what is causing the holdup and what it could mean for the war. 

In The News

22 May 2024
There is a perception [in Kenya] that democracy hasn’t delivered, that elites which had come to power through elections were not delivering. New York Times

Murithi Mutiga

Program Director, Africa
22 May 2024
The Islamic Republic has really focused on ideological conformity at the top rather than legitimacy from below. New York Times

Ali Vaez

Senior Adviser to the President & Project Director, Iran
19 May 2024
[China and Taiwan] are far away from a basis for dialogue that both sides can accept. New York Times

Amanda Hsiao

Senior Analyst, China
17 May 2024
Criminal violence [in Mexico] has become much more difficult to resolve today than six years ago. ... You can't expect a quick fix to the situation, it's too deeply ingra... AP

Falko Ernst

Senior Analyst, Mexico
10 May 2024
This resolution [for Palestinian UN membership] is a very clear signal to Israel and the US that it is time to take Palestinian statehood seriously. AFP

Richard Gowan

UN Director
9 May 2024
The Sudanese have basically been forgotten, obviously there’s the war in Gaza which has taken a lot of attention. Al Jazeera

Alan Boswell

Project Director, Horn of Africa

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