Warwick Hughes free lance science research

Time 2020-07-19 12:03:06

Web Name: Warwick Hughes free lance science research

WebSite: http://www.warwickhughes.com

ID:28806

Keywords:

free,Hughes,Warwick,globalwarming,greenhouseeffect,kyoto,protocol,treaty,tempera

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post-Climategate (Nov 2009)revision of this "front page" in Mar 2010. You can emailme: wshblog2013 ATSINEwarwickhughes.comI started reviewing Prof Jones work in 1991 and I have a timeline of my work and published papersin those early years - many links. People have asked me howI got started looking into temperature data.I first got curious about GW through media reports up to 1990 andwanted to check Australian data for myself - at that point I had neverused a PC. I went into the BoM in Lonsdale Street and paidfor hard copy printouts of stations from here and there - no idea how Iselected sites - just places I knew and maybe the counter staffsuggested stations. I drew a series of charts on graph paper and seeinga variety of disparate trends - being unable to find GW - showed themto some ex mining industry contacts. One guy gave me an intro to peopleat the Tasman Institute in the Melb CBD and about April 1991 I breezedin there with these hand drawn charts and showed a staffer - who said;"..you will have to get all this material onto disk - you can come inhere and learn to use a PC."They gave me a little cubbie of a desk and a 286 PC with Win3.1 and Ibegan pestering staff as to how to get some work out of this box thing.Anyway - the worst phase probably only took a few weeks and I could getsome work out of Excel - my early data was entered to disk from mysheaf of hard copies printouts. Sometime in winter 91 I madecontacts in the BoM and somebody gave me a copy of the US DoE TR027 report - whichdetails - station by station - Jones et al Southern Hemispherecompilation of GW.The Australian component of their Appendix A - was my basic source totrack down Australian long term stations - I built on from there - forexample work done building the data for the Balling, Idso Hughes 1992 paper- that caused the BoM so much heartburn.This work lead on to my construction of the two contrasting temperature histories fromcirca 1882, Graph 1 for 25regional and remote Australian stations and Graph 2 for the sixAustraliancapital cities.I have never said that all the pre-1900 data is pefect - but I thinkthat for high order stations - from 1882 it was mainly collected in theStevenson Screen - and it is preferable that it be shown andwe do not censor out much of our climate history - as the BoM and CSIROdo recently. The BoM have the time and resources to show by stationcomparisons that this or that 19C data is faulty - but in 20 years theyhave never done this. Other Southern Hemisphere regions show this late 19C warmth, NZ, Fiji,far sth Sth America and the African station Bulawayo - anObservatory with data from 1897.About a decade ago I started putting my work on the www - early sitesare lost now I think but the front page "Global Warming" survives here.Still a good introduction to my main issueswith Jones / IPCC work.. Check down the green links on left. City Reviews takes you to manyinstances of urban heat island UHI contamination of city temperaturedata still used by Jones/UKMO/IPCC. 5Degree Grid Cell reviews takes you to anotherway of showing the constant bias in Jones/UKMO/IPCC temperature data. These include my online paper USSR High Magnitude Climate WarmingAnomalies 1901-1996 which points out that IPCCGW is mainly USSR GW due to dodgy data analysis. Note the Russians are now coming out and sayingthat UKMO/Jones treatment of their station data is biased.About 2003 I started warwickhughes.com and that evolved to havethe front page you see below with many links in the large table. Somestill take you to active pages where work is being added; sometake you to pages frozen in time.In late 2005 I started my blog Errors in IPCC Climate Science(with huge help from volunteers), where the vast majority of my workgoes now. I suggest for anyone wanting to catch up on postClimategate goings on just browse through the Archive of linkedmonths on the left starting November 2009.The blog Categories are worth checking too down on the left, I havedone a lot of work debunking media, Govt and BoM rubbish aboutrainfall - under the Water. category on left.My latest work at the blog is taking readers step by step -pointing out questionable science in the Jones et al 1986 hugehemispheric papers that birthed IPCC global warmimgas we now know it. Questionable science that should have been thesubject of journal comments in 1986-87. This work will continueall 2010 at least.. Basic resources and data for getting tounderstand what Jones et al did in the early years is all linkedoff this 20th Anniversary Review page.Thats enough for now to direct new readers who might stumble overwww.warwickhughes.com and be puzzled where everything is.I am well in my 60's now and can only do a small part of what I wouldlike to do - I need staff. I also have to earn money - live anddo other things. I am sorry I am no Shakespeare and if anybodywants to help by rewriting some of my material - go to it please andemail me.Now you can go across to the blog and it iseasy to leave a comment ifyou want to. Thanks to my steady band of blog participants.Under here is mainlypre-2006Link page that takes you to the research ofWarwick Hughes, free lance earth scientist from Australia. Exposingsituations where unsound scienceis used to prop up fashionable and expensive policy notions,usually policy coloured a shade of Green. Guestpapers are clearly identified.Chart of the year: There never was a rain shortage to justifyseawater desalination for Perth s water supplyWestern Australian Government through its various bureaucracies hasopted for seawater desalination to solve Perth's supposed watercrisis. Read how obvious available natural watersources areignored and basic science such as rainfall history has foryears becomethe subject of lies, spin and propaganda, now that desalinationis "the chosen way".Email me if youknow of other cases where desalination is being oversold. Email me: wshblog2013ATSINEwarwickhughes.comWill NSW taxpayers waste $Billions on the desalinationoption for Sydney water supply ? The Govt might do anythingexcept sensibly augmenting the dams that have served Sydney sowell for 100 years. see link top left for rainfall historyDr Jennifer Marohasy ofGt. Barrier Reef and Murray-Darling fame at the IPA has just startedher Blog; a site to watch over time. Do not miss ClimateAudit, blog on thedownfall of the "hockey stick" millenial scale temperature graphic.New page looking into evidence bearing on the rate of extinction ofspecies. With a $Million,Australian Parliamentarians can not get it right. New:Coolwire 15exposes wrong statements about drought in ABC TV documentary"Remembering Rain", Coolwire 14extends through 2005 critiques of pathetic inaccurate BoM Outlook 90day temperature predictions started in Coolwire 8. Coolwire 13critiques David Parker's "Large-scale warming is not urban" and reportson start of campaign to take New Zealand out of the Kyoto Accord. Coolwire 11gets at the truth behind sensationalist Oxford University climatemodelling claims that a rise in temperature of 11 degrees C is possiblethis century.Worst drought ever Explodes Myths about the 2002 Australiandrought. Coolwire 10 explores Alaskan heat islands thanksto Dr Willis Eschenbach.Coolwire8 and Drought pages updated with latest hopelessmodel "Outlook" results for rainfall and temperature. Look in PerthWater page for our questions to Water Corporation. Facts on Manjimuprainfall history to help WaterCorp. Visit www.JarrahBark.com interestingonline Forum based SE of Perth. Geologist Harry Horvathcritiques VictorianGovt. greenhouse policyClimate change and Greenhouseissues, big issues here leading to massive waste of taxpayers money onbloated and biased science bureaucracies, costly effortsto reduce carbon emissions, silly inefficient windmills.In a nutshell, if you want electricity shortages and moreexpensive electricity, then voting Green will help you. In the 90's the Court Government in Western Australia cancelled thebuilding of a coal fired generating unit at Collie. What a great idea,keeps the Greens happy,who can be surprised when peak demand time brings massive powercuts and brown-outs. The present Govt. seems to think that windmillsare a solution. Voters should be telling the Govt. to put in acoal fired power station at Collie.Map of the month, Australian Bureau ofMeteorology 3 month Rainfall "Outlook" or prediction. "Reduced winterrainfall more likely in parts of southern Australia", opines the BoM onMay 17. See the actual VERY DIFFERENT result. To browse monthafter month with prediction on left, realworld outcomeon right. Could the BoM run a chook raffle ?. Temperatures are at Coolwire 8what price climate models ?presented,unreliable media claims about droughtare exposed. Read about solar cyclebased based prediction of future ENSO events which indicates La Ninacondition later in 2004 which is better news for agriculture than ElNino.Perth, Western Australia water supplyissues including WA Govt plan to build "White Elephant"desalination plant. Read how the water shortage Perth is currentlyexperiencing is simply a product of steadily rising consumptioncolliding with political neglect of engineering infrastucture and afailure to anticipate normal cyclic dry periods. But who would bein there opposing new engineering works, you guessed it, the Greens.A major negative factor has been neglecting to manage forest catchmentsthrough thinning forest and clearing scrub and undergrowth, processeswhich would increase runoffand which the Greens naturally oppose on wildlife grounds. So onceagain, if you want water shortages and look forward to theprospect of paying more for water, vote Green.Melbourne, Victoria, Australia water supply issues,read about new Govt. policy based on scary and implausible CSIROclimate models, while misrepresenting real world rainfall history. Petrol price issues, howAustralian pumpprices trend up over three years while world oil pricetrends down in A$. Not all the Greens fault here but they contribute bypushing for increasing petrol quality which makes it more difficult forindependent importers to get competitive supplies. This newpetrol quality standard will go national in a year or so and willresult in more upward pressure on pump prices; -- if voters do not telltheir politicians to shelve the plan. Air Quality: Read how city air qualityhas been improving for decades. Yet we still read Green inspireddoom and gloom stories in the media saying air quality is a seriousproblem and that our bad air quality is causingthousands of deaths. And I understood our life expectancyhas been increasing for centuries.A questionI wouldlike answered by these claiming current air pollution iscausing a statistically significant increase in the death rate,"..where were they hiding the bodies in the 1960's and 70's when AQ waslot worse than it is now..? "Read critique ofweaknesses and omissionsin new April2004 Canberra Govt. report "State of the Air" (SOTA).Urban and Tropospheric Ozone,major component of smog, is widely believed to form from pollutantprecurssors (such as NOx oxides of nitrogen produced during combustion,(read auto engines and power plants). However the moreI examine data the more I am convinced that this is not the whole storyand that much tropospheric (lower atmosphere) ozone, which includesurban ozone of course, is in fact natural in origin, the product ofpeak afternoon temperatures on hot days acting on reactiveparticles in the air which are very often chemicals given off fromvegetation, forests,sea foamand soil, not necessarily inurban areas at all. Air monitoring data are discussed fromFrance, California and Perth, Western Australia which indicate muchpeak ozone is natural and can not be logically attributed to combustionpollutants. The road toll: Looks at the history of Australian road fatalitystatistics, discusses concept of "collision enhancingactions", questions if the huge emphasis put on minor speedinfractions is justified, proposes many new actions we could taketo reduce the road toll.I can be emailed at wshblog2013 ATSINEwarwickhughes.comLinks to outside sites:Sites drawing attention to faulty scienceacross a range of subjects:Acerbic Anti-Green blog by Dr John Ray of Brisbane. Widerangeof articles all homing in quickly on Green fallacies.http://antigreen.blogspot.com/ClimateAudit Weblog by Stephen McIntyre and RossMcKittrick, destroyers of the infamous "hockey stick"http://www.climateaudit.org/Institute of Public Affairs. In their Environmentsection see the Jennifer Marohasy demolition of Green / media view ofMurray River, and Great Barrier Reef.http://www.ipa.org.au/Bizarre Science by Dr Aaron Oakley and Louis Hissink is aninformative, entertaining and very readable weblog site detailing caseafter case where sound scientific principles take a back seat.http://www.gravett.org/bizarrescience/Dryland Salinity Action Plan developed by Agritech,Peter Coyne's groupSteve Milloy's huge site debunks all manner ofGreenand Govt. myths and lies.http://www.junkscience.com/Numberwatch by John Brignell, highlights misleading use ofstatistics and general media ignorance where politicians, science,numbers stats are concerned. Witty and rapier sharp. http://www.numberwatch.co.ukKarl Popper, Hayek, and Bartley's philosophies. Insights by RafeChampion. Something a little off the main track for us sciencetypes. Take Rafe's link to "full index", scroll down to Short Reviews,several on science subjects.http://www.the-rathouse.com/ The Scientific Alliance, another web site puttingbalancing views on science and environment issues, solid and veryBritish. http://www.scientific-alliance.comTrack all grain and commodity priceshttp://futures.tradingcharts.com/Qld DPI Long Paddock for El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)actual daily values with 30 and 90 day rolling averages.http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscillationIndex/30DaySOIValues/SEPP: Dr Fred Singer's Science and Environment Policy Project,publishes The Week That Was (TWTW), critiques a range ofenvironment science issues each week, pricks many balloons, not to bemissed. http://www.sepp.org Shoshone Natural Resources Coalition, Shoshone County, IdahoA groupof citizens and scientists convinced that, "that local citizens neededtake action, voice their opinions, and effectively influence naturalresource decisions being made by federal agencies for the resourcesthat are found in Shoshone County.http://snrcsciencecommittee.org/Weblog monitoring coverage of environmental issues and science inUK media. By Professor Emeritus Philip Stott. The aim is toassesswhether a subject is being fairly covered by press, radio, andtelevision.Will focus on science, but not just on poor science. It will also bringto public notice good science that is being ignored because it may bepoliticallyinconvenient.http://greenspin.blogspot.com/Tech Central Station - where free markets meettechnology, a huge resource of articles on science andenvironment http://www.techcentralstation.com/Air quality and tropospheric ozone:Australian Government survey of air quality history from all cities,"Stateof the Air" has many weaknesses and shortcomings but it is astart.http://www.deh.gov.au/atmosphere/airquality/status/index.html#downloadJoel Schwartz dot com many sound articles on air quality subjects, "..abreath of fresh air.."Melbourne Victoria Australia air quality improvingover decadeshttp://www.warwickhughes.com/air/epa.htmKwinana Western Australiaindustrialdistrict near Perth, air quality improving over decadeshttp://www.warwickhughes.com/air/aqual.htmCockburn Association of Pragmatists.(CAPS)Details how issues surrounding air quality in Kwinana, thePerth W.A. main industrial district, generate media reportsfrom the far side. Read how the local "EPA" looks to be helpingGreen groups promulgate their inventive complaints time aftertime, via a pliant or lazy media. No, CAPS is not inventingthis stuff. http://www.geocities.com/cementatcockburn2002NASA telling us about the urban heat island,wonderful pictures of infra-red inages from satellites. Click on AirQuality for very good vertical section of ozone content across theKnoxville UHI in USA. Like a flower the UHI / pollution plume rises acouple of thousand metres. http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/urban/

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