Florida Hurricane Info - Florida Weather Watch - Gulf of Mexico Storm Forecast

Web Name: Florida Hurricane Info - Florida Weather Watch - Gulf of Mexico Storm Forecast

WebSite: http://www.floridahurricane.net

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The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to produce (with 70% probability for each range) 13-19 named storms, of which 6-10 are expected to become hurricanes, and 3-6 of those are expected to become major hurricanes. These ranges are centered above the 1981-2010 period averages of about 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes. (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center is produced in collaboration with hurricane experts from the National Hurricane Center and Hurricane Research Division..Last Year Florida was spared from the full impact of Hurricane Dorian but the Bahamas were devastatedTues 11pm Dorian Analysis View HereSun 11pm, Dorian Analysis View Here Fri 11pm Dorian Analysis View HereFriday - GFS and European Models track the path of Hurricane DorianView Here View HereThe European tracking models consistently predicted the movement of Hurricanes.Influences on the path of Hurricane Dorian View Hereloop current is over 100 miles off the west coast of Florida. The current moves south around the Florida Keys. It kept the sludge from the 2011 BP Oil Spill off the West Coast of Florida Beaches in the Tampa Bay and Fort Myers Areas where desirable real estate is located. See The Loop Current Tropical Storm minimum sustained winds of 39 mph. A hurricane has minimum winds of 74 mph. Averaging weather records as far back as 1950, a typical season has 12 tropical storms, with 7 becoming hurricanes. Hurricane Watch typically issued 48 hours before the first occurrence of tropical storm force winds.Tropical Storm Warning conditions expected in the warning area within 36 hours.Biggest Reported Ocean Waves Hurricane IvanPREPARATIONS - HOME SAFETY Food, Water,Pets, etc. Hurricane EvacuationHurricane Preparations Safety Pt 1Hurricane Preparations Safety Pt 2Drinking Water Pollution Choosing a Generator Flying Debris Protection Rebuilding Homes Hurricane Damage NATIONAL WEATHER National Weather TropicalGeo Satellite ImagesNational Weather Radar Track Maps Atlantic Hurricane Season National Info Sources FEMA s - Flood Map InfoEPA - Flood CleanupSalvation ArmyAmerican Red Cross Fed Emergency FEMAWeather Channel Flood and InsuranceFlorida Home Insurance FL Evacuation Info Florida Evacuation RoutesFlorida Disaster FundFlorida Emergency ManagementFlorida Maps and InfoPinellas County FloridaPasco CountyHillsborough CountyManatee County SW FL Regional Planning Weather Underground News The Atlantic Coast of Florida has more probability of a Hurricane strike than the Tampa Bay West Coast.Florida gets the majority of the news and it incorrectly appears that it s the only State in the path of Hurricanes. Hurricane strike probabilities are statistical estimates. Be prepared as storms approach.Emergency and Survival Goods items that you should always have available or can purchase- Non-electric can opener, flashlights, batteries, portable radios, candles, dry food, canned food, bottled water and a Coleman portable cook stove.The Hurricane Hunters of the Air Force Reserve, fly into the eye of the hurricane. Hurricane HuntersFree referral service that matches consumers, who cannot find property insurance, with Florida licensed agents and insurers writing new business. Florida Assistance Plan A Radio should be one of the many items you should have access to all the time. Before Hurricane Season be sure to have spare batteries and store lots of drinking water. Hurricane or NOT Items that you should always have available. Non-electric can opener, flashlights and batteries, portable radios, Candles, dry food, canned food, bottled water. Save large plastic jugs and store in garage. Fill 3/4 with water and put in freezer at least 2 days before a Hurricane is forecast to approach Florida. The frozen water jugs will keep your food in the fridge and freezer cold for at least 3 days. Our food stayed useable during Hurricane Irma. Coleman portable cook stove under $45 plus fuel at WalMart and other stores. We used it and had hot food.2019 HURRICANE SEASON PREDICTIONThe nation s top seasonal hurricane forecasters predict 12 to 14 named tropical storms will form, 5 to 7 of which will become hurricanes. 2 to 4 are expected to develop into major hurricanes with a near-average chance to make landfall along the U.S. coastline. A weak El Nino and cool Atlantic waters are two limiting factors this year. Accu Weather is forecasting that the current El Niño phase and intensity show signs of weakening through the summer, including the most active times of August, September and October. This would lead to less frequent episodes of wind shear across the basin, which affects tropical cyclone development and intensification. The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th Communication is critical during and after a Hurricane. Besides a Radio you should also have a Cell Phone. This Web Site is a Public Service We specialize in Beach and Waterfront Florida Real Estate for over 25 years. We survived intact from the impact of Hurricane Irma. The category 2 Hurricane came within 10 miles of our home. Feel free to contact us at our web sites Waterfront Florida Home Waterfront Florida Condo June 2018, the University of Arizona forecasting model predicts a below-average number of hurricanes for the 2018 hurricane season. UA researchers are predicting 4 hurricanes, two of which will be major hurricanes. UA prediction is among the lowest of all forecasts. In 2017, the UA s forecast was among the highest - 11 hurricanes with 6 majors it was closest to hitting the mark. A main factor in this year s prediction is the sea surface temperatures over the Atlantic. Tropical Atlantic Ocean surface wind from east to west is stronger than in most years, which means a stronger wind shear, which usually reduces hurricane activities. Oct 2018, Hurricane Michael is the 13th named storm and 7th hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. 2018 Hurricane Florence was not a threat to Florida - Heavy storm surge and coastal flooding battered the east coast North Carolina areas The U.S. continues to recover from an estimated $285 billion in damages caused in 2017 during one of the most catastrophic hurricane seasons in history. We survived intact from the impact of Hurricane Irma. The category 2 Hurricane came within 10 miles of our home. Hurricane Irma in September 2017 went up the west coast of Florida but far enough away from the warm Gulf of Mexico waters when it reached the Tampa Bay Florida area. Irma blasted Key West as a Category 4 Hurricane and moved over Naples and Fort Myers. As it moved over land it decreased to a Category 3 and then at Cat 2 as it neared Tampa Bay. Most of the Tampa Bay 4 county area of Pinellas, Pasco, Hillsborough and Manatee had a low Cat 2 to a Cat 1 effect. Most of the damage was from winds up to 100mph. Flooding was not as bad as earlier predicted as Irma went up the middle of Florida. As of Sept 26th 2017 - Hurricane Irma resulted in 335,000 insurance claims in property losses the state Office of Insurance Regulation reported. The Atlantic hurricane season extends from June 1st to November 30th. Many factors must be present for a hurricane to develop and intensify - Ocean temperature at a minimum of 80 degrees to a depth of at least 150 feet.2017 Florida Hurricane Info - The current warmer sea surface temperatures tend to fuel hurricanes as they move across the ocean. The climate models are showing considerable uncertainty. Forecasting is not an exact science. Which forecast model should you trust?Hurricane Tracking The European Model Hurricane or NOT Items that you should always have available. Non-electric can opener, flashlights and batteries, portable radios, Candles, dry food, canned food, bottled water. Save large plastic jugs and store in garage. Fill 3/4 with water and put in freezer at least 2 days before a Hurricane is forecast to approach Florida. The frozen water jugs will keep your food in the fridge and freezer cold for at least 3 days. Our food stayed useable during Hurricane Irma. Coleman portable cook stove under $45 plus fuel at WalMart and other stores. We used it and had hot food.A Hurricane season can deliver many storms, but have little impact, or deliver few storms and have one or more hitting the U.S. coast with major impact. August 25- 2017 - Hurricane Harvey blasts Texas and surrounding areas with floods and extensive damage 2016 Florida Hurricane Info - The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration s updated outlook predicts 12 to 17 named storms, including five to eight hurricanes, two to four of which could be major. On average, the U.S. gets 12 named Atlantic storms a season, including six hurricanes, three of them major.Hurricane Hermine was the first hurricane to hit Florida in 11 years.The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season was one of the least active in decades. 8/29/2015 - Tropical Storm ERIKA dissipates. Wind shear in the Caribbean Sea and the mountains of Hispaniola weakened TS Erika. The mass split in two near Cuba and weakened into a tropical wave. The 2014 hurricane season had a below average number of named storms and hurricanes. Statistical analysis suggested 9 to 11 named storms for 2014, including five hurricanes, one or two of which are predicted to reach major Category 3 or stronger hurricane status. The forecast proved to be not very accurate.The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season had the fewest number of hurricanes since 1982. 2013 had one of the strongest El Nino events on record. The tropical Atlantic was cooler than normal. Forecasters had predicted that the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season would be more active than normal. Records going back to 1851 show there had been only 17 years when the first Atlantic hurricane formed after September 4. For the first time in 11 years there has not been a Hurricane in the Atlantic up to that time of the year. The first hurricane of the 2013 season was named Humberto, it formed far out in the Atlantic on Sept 11th, then decreased to a Tropical Storm. Hurricane Ingrid formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Sept 14th 2013 and weakened to a Tropical Depression as it landed on the coast of Tampico Mexico on 9/16. The first Tropical Storm of the 2013 season was Tropical Storm Andrea with highest wind speed of 65mph. It also caused tornado activity in south west Florida. No major damage as it moved across north Florida and into the Atlantic Ocean. The second Tropical Storm named Chantal decreased into a tropical depression. Air temperatures from the Caribbean to Africa was warmer than normal which has reduced instability in the atmosphere that drives storm development. Also, dry air was pulled off Africa into the Atlantic which also affected storm activity. Persistent unfavorable atmospheric conditions to hurricane formation over the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and tropical Atlantic Ocean was the reason that 2013 is ranked as the sixth least active Atlantic hurricane season since 1950 in terms of named storms and hurricanes. Air temperatures from the Caribbean to Africa was warmer than normal which has reduced instability in the atmosphere that drives storm development. Also, dry air was pulled off Africa into the Atlantic which also affected storm activity. Forecasters had predicted that the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season would be more active than normal. 2012 - Sandy wreaked havoc - Storm surges, heavy rain and devastating winds blasted the U.S. East Coast Hurricane Sandy merged with a winter system from the West and both were fed by cold air from Canada. Some called it a super storm or perfect storm . When the center of Sandy hit land off the New Jersey Coast, on October 29th, the impact was felt across an area more than 900 miles wide. New York City sustained the greatest damage. Wall Street shut down, subway tunnels flooded, power failures were monumental and tragic loss of life.Debby was the fourth named storm of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season (June23) Above average rainfall in Florida replenished water supplies and most water shortage warnings were lifted after Tropical Storm Debby drenched Florida counties. An El Nino effect - warms the surface waters in the tropical Pacific and has far-ranging effects around the globe. It creates wind shear that makes it harder for storms to grow into hurricanes in the Atlantic-Caribbean basin. In an average year, there are 11 tropical storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.The 2011 NOAA hurricane forecast predicted 12 to 18 named storms and 6 to 10 hurricanes with 3 to 6 possible major hurricanes. Irene was the 1st Hurricane of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season. There were 19 named Tropical storms and 3 Hurricanes - Irene, Katia and Rina. Hurricane Maria followed a similar track as Hurricane Katia. Both posed no threat to Florida or the U.S. East Coast. The predicted forecast models were accurate. In early August Hurricane Dora developed in the Pacific Ocean off the Mexico Coast but quickly diminished in intensity and posed no threat to the U S. The U.S. East Coast from North Carolina to New York had the most severe weather - especially from Hurricane Irene. Florida once again did not have any destructive weather or hurricane land fall.Many factors must be present for a hurricane to develop and intensify - Ocean temperature at a minimum of 80 degrees to a depth of at least 150 feet. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours beforethe anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds...conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. 2011 - Hurricane Irene came ashore near North Carolina s Cape Lookout around 7:30 a.m. EDT Saturday as a Tropical Storm. Irene dropped in intensity to 65 mph before making landfall in New York City at about 9 a.m. Sunday. The National Hurricane Center official track forecast for Irene was pretty accurate for landfall locations. Irene had roared across the Caribbean with winds of up to 120 mph. Irene produced rainfall accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated amounts of 20 inches through the mid-Atlantic states into eastern New York and New England. Widespread flooding, life-threatening flash floods and significant uprooting of trees due to rain-softened grounds are reported. Irene may cost insurers as much as $3 billion to cover U.S. damage, with overall economic losses of $7 billion. There have been over 45 storm related deaths reported so far. Over 2.5 million on the East Coast lost power. During Hurricane Katrina in 2004 stores closed as looters ran wild. Grocery stores typically only carry 3-4 days worth of food that s would be gone in a few hours during a crisis through buyers hoarding or criminal looting. Prepare in advance. News Weather Archives Hurricane Katrina In 2010 there were a total of 19 named storms. Luckily, none of last years 12 hurricanes hit the United States. The 2010 season was an unusual and highly active season. Damages and loss of life were far below what one would expect from so much activity. The year is most remembered for what didn t happen. Luckily a full fledged hurricane did not slice into the BP Deepwater Horizon oil spill, nor did a devastating hurricane cause massive loss of life in Haiti s vulnerable earthquake zone. However, 2 hurricanes Karl and Alex did billions of damage to Mexico. It was the 5th year in a row that Florida did not receive a major hurricane strike. DID YOU KNOW - Many factors must be present for a hurricane to develop, they include: Ocean temperature must be a minimum of 80 degrees to a depth of at least 150 feet. The lower layer of the atmosphere (troposphere) must contain a large degree of high humidity. The difference of the wind speed between the lower and upper atmospheres must not exceed 20 miles per hour. Thunderstorm activity must be present to start the circular spinning action and create an upward flow of air. Wind speed begins to speed up near the center of the thunderstorm center, and if barometric pressure drops, more air is sucked up into the core of the storm and wind velocity begins to increase. If wind speed increases to 74mph (the minimum velocity for hurricane classification), an eye will generally begin to form, giving birth to a hurricane. The loop current has less effect on the west coast of Florida keeping more than 100 miles off the coast. Concerning the 2011 BP Oil Spill in the Gulf and West Coast of Florida where the properties are located not to be affected - Review The Loop Current Protect your home. Get a professional inspection and strengthen areas prone to storm damage. Take photos and save them with all receipts in a safe place. Contact your insurance agent about rebates for any work done to fortify your home, such as hurricane windows, doors and protective roofing.The official Atlantic hurricane season is from June 1st through November 30th. Many factors are needed for a hurricane to develop, such as - the Ocean temperature must be a minimum of 80 degrees and depth at least 150ft. Current Gulf of Mexico water temperatures 85 to 88 degrees from Key West to Tampa Bay.2010 Weather News - Alex was the first Atlantic Hurricane of the season and reached a category 2 in intensity. It made its way over the Gulf of Mexico and slammed into Mexico with 100 mph winds Wednesday night June 30th and then dissipated as it moved over land. Wave action from the hurricane only caused a minimal effect as it pushed some of the top slick from the oil leak area in the Gulf closer to the shores in Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi Hurricane Danielle and Earl are the second and third hurricanes of the season and remained out in the Atlantic. Danielle remained out in the Atlantic and caused no damage to the U.S. Earl diminished from a hurricane to a tropical storm as it made landfall near Western Head Nova Scotia with sustained winds of 70 mph. Tropical Storm Hermine got up to 70 mph just under category one status and slammed into Mexico s northern Gulf Coast near the U.S. border with winds of 60 mph, lashing Mexico and southern Texas with heavy rains that caused some flash flooding.For the first time in twelve years, we had a rare triple threat in the Atlantic -three simultaneous hurricanes. Hurricane Karl joined Hurricanes Igor and Julia in the steadily expanding Hurricanes of 2010 club becoming the sixth hurricane of the season. The last time we had three simultaneous hurricanes in the Atlantic was in 1998.Igor made landfall at Newfoundland, Canada with heavy rain and winds near hurricane force. Hurricane Danielle and Earl were the second and third hurricanes of the season and remained out in the Atlantic and followed a similar path as Igor and Julia.The activity for the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season has an average of 10 names storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 intense hurricanes. For 2010 NOAA projected a 70% probability of : 14 to 23 Named Storms (top winds of 39 mph +, including: 8 to 14 Hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph +), of which: 3 to 7 could be Major Hurricanes (Cat 3, 4 or 5; winds at least 111 mph). Richard is the 10th hurricane of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season tied for sixth place for most hurricanes in an Atlantic hurricane season. The year s 17 named storms also ranks 6th most in history; Atlantic hurricane season records go back to 1851. 2010 Atlantic Hurricane season - NOAA predicted a 70 percent probability of the following ranges: 14 to 23 Named Storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher, including: 8 to 14 Hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which: 3 to 7 could be Major Hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph). It was the fifth year in a row that Florida did not receive a major hurricane strike. The last major hurricane to hit the United States was Wilma, which first struck southwest Florida as a Category 3 system in 2005. Since the mid-1800s, when records were first kept, the United States has never gone six years without a major hurricane strike. Many factors must be present for a hurricane to develop, they include: Sea temperature must be a minimum of 80 degrees to a depth of at least 150 feet.The lower layer of the atmosphere must contain a large degree of high humidity. The difference of the wind speed between the lower and upper atmospheres must not exceed 20 miles per hour. Thunderstorm activity must be present to start the circular spinning action and create an upward flow of air near the center of the thunderstorm center, and if barometric pressure drops, more air is sucked up into the core of the storm and wind velocity begins to increase. If wind speed increases to 74mph (the minimum velocity for hurricane classification), an eye will generally begin to form, giving birth to a hurricane.On April 7, 2010, Colorado State University issued its annual report on the year s hurricane forecast predictions. Forecasters predict above average Atlantic hurricane-season. University forecasters William Gray and Phil Klotzbach each stated that El Nino conditions will likely dissipate by summer. In addition they believe that the warm tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures will not drop and will remain at the current temperatures. These temperatures have reportedly been much warmer than usual.Have a plan of action to protect against hazards. A family plan should include knowing the risks in your area, locating safe areas in the home or evacuation centers, setting a contact location where family members can meet, making plans for pets, storing nonperishable food and other emergency items, and using a NOAA radio.Many factors must be present for a hurricane to develop and intensify, they include: Ocean temperature must be a minimum of 80 degrees to a depth of at least 150 feet. In a typical season, there are about 11 named storms, of which two to three impact the east or gulf coast of the US.2009 Archives - The North Atlantic hurricane season overall in 2009 ranks as the slowest since the El Nino year of 1997. Bill was the first Atlantic hurricane and did not affect Florida. Hurricane Ida fizzled out because the Gulf water temperatures were not warm enough.Hurricane Categories are based on sustained winds (1)74-95 mph (2)96-110 (3)111-130 (4)131-155 (5)over 155 mph. The official Atlantic hurricane season is from June 1st through November 30th. Forecasters predicting an above average 2010 Western Atlantic Hurricane season due to expected warm ocean temperatures. In a typical season, there are about 11 named storms, of which two to three impact the east or gulf coast of the US. AccuWeather Hurricane Center meteorologists are predicting 16 to 18 tropical storms, 15 of which would be in the western Atlantic or Gulf of Mexico, and therefore a threat to land. They predict seven landfall - five hurricanes, and two or three of the hurricanes will be major landfalls for the U.S.Tips after a Hurricane Do not examine your home for damage with matches, candles, or other other flame based lighting.Use flashlights. Avoid downed power lines. If you stored water in open containers such s bathtubs, do not drink water without purifying it first. 2009 Hurricane Season including 2008 and 2010 -Tropical Storm Names 2009 Hurricane Names -Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Erika, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, Wanda For 2008 NOAA had predicted a near normal Atlantic Hurricane Season with a 65% chance of 12 to 16 named storms, including 6 to 9 hurricanes and 2 to 5 major hurricanes. An average season has 11 named storms, including 6 hurricanes. Only Fay slammed the state of Florida with heavy rains. The 15 other named storms spared Florida. 2008 Named Tropical Storms and Hurricanes were Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Genevieve, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Iselle, Josephine, Kyle, Omar and Paloma August 2008 Tropical Storm Fay - caused severe water shortage for a 16-county region of Florida and parts of Georgia. Rainfall from from 17 to 25 inches for Florida and Georgia was reported. Areas of flooding with accumulations up to 30 inches caused major damage. While hurricane losses in Florida were minimal this year, 2008 was the fourth costliest hurricane season on record - $21 billion in U.S.-insured damages, according to the ISO s Property Claim Services. Florida Hurricane Strike Statistic Probabilities - Cape Coral Florida 1 in 11 ---- Tampa Bay Florida (st pete, clearwater area) 1 in 25Jun 1, 2006 - It leaves residents in hurricane-prone areas feeling shell-shocked. Cape Coral insurance agent Brad Carlock knows of people who take out long-term loans to pay their annual insurance bills. Oct 20, 2005 - Hurricane Charley that came within 10 miles of Cape Coral and caused significant damage. Damage estimates in Cape Coral topped $600 million and 41 percent of the homes here suffered some damage. Aug 14, 1992 - . Hurricane Andrew, which caused billions of dollars of damage in south Florida. ... Heavy damage was reported in Cape Coral The Top 10 States that have had Major Hurricane strikes are Florida with Texas a close second, Louisiana, North Carolina, Mississippi, Alabama, New York, South Carolina, Connecticut and Rhode Island (hurricane strikes chart) The Atlantic hurricane season is officially from 1 June to 30 November. Chart From 1950 to 2004 in the United States Major Hurricane Land StrikesTracking Path Images Tropical Storm Fay Hurricane GustavBefore you purchase area Real Estate - get updated Information on Tampa Bay Area Flood Zoning, Property Insurance, etc. If your mortgage company and/or insurance agent claim that your home is in a Special Flood Hazard Area, this link recommends you perform a flood risk analysis.What you should know about the National Flood Insurance Program Insurance experts sound alarm that Florida may be ill-equipped to pay future storm claims Florida Home Insurance NewsFlorida Residents and Flood Insurance Information from FEMA -Federal Emergency Management AgencySEARCH HOME PROTECTION SERVICE COMPANIES FOR INSTALLATION OR REPAIRS SAFETY GLASS WINDOWS DOORS GARAGE DOORS Real Estate Owners - Home Window Protection - Temporary Shutters, permanent shutters and impact resistant windows Rollshield.com Homes Window Protection - Window clips are one of many inexpensive ways to protect your real estate and windows from high winds and airborne debris. They install in minutes and slide on the edge of the plywood which is inserted into the exterior window casing. Plywood can be removed without tools. Hurricane Window ClipsFlorida Real Estate Insurance Info- In 2002, the Florida Legislature passed a law that combined the Florida Residential Property and Casualty Joint Underwriting Association (FRPCJUA) and the Florida Windstorm Underwriting Association (FWUA). This resulted in the creation of Citizens Property insurance Corporation (Citizens), which more efficiently and effectively provides insurance to, and serves the needs of, homeowners in high-risk areas and others who cannot find coverage in the open, private insurance market. Web Sites http://www.citizensfla.com Florida Homeowner Referral Program for Insurance Hurricane Strike Statistics and Probabilities Map Strengthen your home or condo with an inspection and earn insurance rebatesAtlantic hurricanes often form to the west or northwest of the African equatorial coast. Prevailing wind currents generally cause them to travel in a westward or northwestward direction, making the Caribbean Islands usually vulnerable. Hurricanes can develop in almost any of the world s oceans, but generally form in the tropics and the Gulf of Mexico. Tampa Bay Florida Flood Zones FEMA General Info Pinellas County Flood Zones FEMA Flood Maps Pinellas County

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