Cricketing Minds
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HomeControversial TopicsThe best finisher in ODI cricketVVS Laxman: Truly Special or Truly AverageSwann vs AjmalICC Test Ranking PredictionsJanuary 2012SeriesT20 World Cup 2012Why Team India should watch out for PakistanAnalyzing Pakistan's preparation for the T20 WCPakistan vs England ODI Series 2012English batsmen vs Pakistani bowlersPakistani batsmen vs English bowlersODI Series ReviewPakistan vs England Test Series 2012PreviewHow to get Strauss outHow to get Cook outHow to get Trott outHow to get Pietersen outHow to get Bell outHow to get Morgan outHow to get Prior outCountryAustraliaEnglandSwann vs AjmalIndiaWhy Team India should watch out for PakistanVVS Laxman: Truly Special or Truly AveragePakistanT20 WC preparation analysisThe wicket keeper dilemmaSwann vs AjmalWhy Team India should watch out for PakistanAll these head breaking, ball biting, toe crushing, stump shattering, trust breaking, ball tampering and chucking players only have one agenda in life - to destroy the Indian team.
Analyzing Pakistan's preparation for the T20 World CupWith the selection done and final 15 decided, what are the leaks and creaks that the team might have to counter?
Pakistan's deadlock situationWhen will this wicket-keeper dilemma get resolved? Why has the management not been consistent with the team selection?
Who is the best finisher in ODI Cricket?This time, it is upto you to decide who the best finisher in ODI cricket is amongst the best - Bevan, Dhoni, Klusener or Hussey, we are just gonna put up the numbers.
VVS Laxman - Very Very Special or Very Very Over-ratedThe true question, however, is that should Laxman be considered as a batting great of his generation? Here at CricketingMinds, we believe that Laxman is just an average batsman in the context of other great players, and we have the numbers to prove it.
Swann vs Ajmal - Who is better?Swann's ability to flight and spin the ball sharply has been one of the key to success. On the other hand, Ajmal is a completely different bowler than Swann. He carries with him bag full of tricks - Top-spinner, flipper, 'Doosra', and now the 'Teesra'.
Saturday, 29 September 2012Why Team India should watch out for Pakistan?
BEWARE TEAM INDIA! The Pakistani teams evilness is nowsurfacing. This frightening team has been working very hard at their trainingcamps and are coming up with wicked plans to dismantle and mentally break theIndian team.
For someone who follows cricket, it is obvious to them that the Pakistani team is one incredibly unexplainable phenomena at times they exceed miraculous expectations, play like cornered tigers and snatch the unlikeliest victories and other (more often) times, they falter when no one anticipates them to. A cricket fan would know that all predictions, calculations, and projections go haywire when Pakistan takes the field of play. Add to that the unpredictability and spice that comes with T20 cricket and you know you are bound to get an intense mix which can be either being exhilarating or disastrous.
Misbah ul Haq is a captain with a bag full of tricks - so many that not only does he leave the opposition surprised but also sometimes leaves his team members and fans scratching their heads. He added another feather to his cap when he decided to field 6 bowlers against India in this recent Asia Cup at the cost of a specialist wicket keeper. That move baffled me.
Sarfraz AhmedI was confused at the team selection: Pakistan had opted forUmar Akmal as the keeper and Sarfraz was left out to accommodate the extrabowler - Wahab Riaz. It is not like Pakistan has not done this in the past but I could notquite understand what Sarfraz had done to be left out. The keeper did not getthe opportunity to catch in the first game against Bangladesh and scored auseful 19 not out (although that came at a Strike Rate of 67.85 which by ODIstandards might be considered mediocre but in the context of the match, thosewere useful runs nonetheless as the difference of victory was 21 runs). He tooka catch against Sri Lanka and did not bat. Yet Pakistanwent ahead to field an extra bowler in the team against India, a speedster who last performed with the ball a year ago, played only 2 ODIs since May 2011 and conceded 47 runs in 7 overs in his last outing.
Apply some MBA?Maybe it was a genius move by the MBA grad. One might saythat it was to widen up the bowling options and I will not argue against that.The result of this clever experiment was that Umar Akmal as a makeshift keeper spilled around 10 runs easily and missed a fewchances and Wahab conceded 50 runs in 4 overs. And I will not object to their performances as them doing better might have not impacted the result of the match given the way Virat Kohli was playing.
My objection is not against the captain trying differentthings but as to the frequency of these experiments.Pakistan has played 9 ODIs in 2012 so far and the maximum games without changing the keeper were only 3 - Umar Akmal kept wickets against Afghanistan and the first two ODIs against England. His brother (Adnan) was brought in for the next two games. Then Sarfraz was entrusted with the glovework against Bangladesh and Sri Lanka but for some reason he could not win the captain's trust and was replaced by Umar Akmal in the next game against India. He was then drafted in for the final against Bangladesh.
The following question rises as a result: Why the management is not consistent on theteam selection and when will this wicket-keeper dilemma be resolved?
Adam GilchristMost likely if Misbah is asked this question he potentially might suggest the need for a wicket-keeper batsman, someone who can add depth to the batting line up - a reason which actually justifies making Umar Akmal keep. And given the trends in cricket, it is understood that a keeper-batsman adds a totally different dimension to the team. We can look at the examples of Adam Gilchrist, MS Dhoni and Kumar Sangakkara.Wicket keepersin the past were understood to be a conventional number 7 batsman who played auseful innings if they could and it was assumed that the batting was the responsibilityof the batsmen in the team and not the keeper.But players like Gilchrist came along to change that perception. Adam Gilchrist,who has been named as the keeper for the Greatest ODI Team of All Timewas known for his explosive batting and safe keeping and was one of the maincatalysts in the Australian domination over world cricket in the early 2000s.It was a perfect combo an excellent, safe keeper who bats like a batsman andnot like a basher lower down the order. It changed the way teams looked attheir keepers and soon many teams followed the trend.
Kamran Akmal - Another drop? Pakistan too had Moin Khan and Rashid Latif at the time, whowere excellent keepers and could bat but their batting was not of the level of Gilchrist, Dhoni orSangakkara. They retired and were replaced by everyone's favourite and an all-time great in his area of expertise:Kamran Akmal.With theaggressive style of his batting, it seemed like Pakistan had found its own keeper-batsman.Kamran Akmal strengthened his position in the side after a match winning 113 inthe infamous Karachi test against India in 2006. He did not hold back in ODIs,scoring 100s while opening, against West Indies and England. But even who don't follow cricket regularly would know elder Akmal's consistent achievements with the gloves during 2007-2011. He was in and out of the team and Pakistan experimented with the likes of Zulqarnain Haider, Sarfraz Ahmed and Mohammad Salman but could not find the perfect combination.
Sarfraz Ahmed has made a point with his safe pair of hands and scored his career best knock of 46* againstBangladesh in the final of the Asia Cup - an almost Man of the Match worthy innings in thisclose game. It is the captain's job to give him th econfidence and the consistent run with the side. His career spans 4.5 years and he has only played 18 ODIs. For a young keeper, the pressure of being dropped and not being given a consistent chance can be disconcerting. He definitely has the potential to become the next Moin Khan or Rashid Latif if not Adam Gilchrist.
Opinion: A Potential Best Solution
A potential ideal scenario might be to let AdnanAkmal keep in Tests (since he just proved himself in the tests againstEngland), Umar Akmal in T20s (it is with the hope that the mistakes of amakeshift keeper can be overcome in the shortest format) and Sarfraz Ahmed inODIs. Pakistans next assignment might be a series against Bangladesh and thatcan be considered a possibility for the team to groom this young keeper andmake him a permanent in the team.
Inthe 4th ODI of the recently concluded CB Series, when faced with a task of chasing 13 runsin the last over, MS Dhoni, with his nerveless batting, delivered one of themost sensational victories for India. In doing so, he re-established the fact thatcricket might be a team game but the difference between victory and defeat cansometimes be the skill of one man the finisher.
Mydad often says that life is never a constant; that it is a series of successesand failures. One day you win, the other day you may not. However, the key isnot to panic when you fail. Rather, look back at your actions and learn fromyour mistakes. It is unforgivable that a failure is not taken as anopportunity for improvement.
Englands tour ofUAE has been an excellent reminder of the lesson that dad always taught me.After a 3-0 whitewash in the test series, no cricket pundit gave England achance in the ODIs. The odds were stacked heavily against them. Englandtook this as an opportunity to re-assess their game and played with moreresolve and determination to come out on top as the better side.
Most experts suggest that a team is the embodiment of their coachspersonality. All great men fight harder when the going gets tough and goodcoaches have the skill to instill in their players the confidence andwillingness to win. No other team is a better example of this than England.
Ever since Mohsin Khan has taken over as Pakistans coach, Pakistan has tastedsuccess. But the real test of a coach is when his soldiers are down, woundedand shattered in confidence. This is a testing time for Mohsin Khan and Misbahul Haq. Imran Khan would probably tell you the same: A great leader is one whohas the ability to stand up and fight, especially when the chips are down.
It is true that Pakistan were beaten by England in every department: batting,bowling, fielding and most importantly captaincy. But it is important toanalyze every aspect of Pakistans defeat to learn why England did well and whyPakistan surrendered so easily.
This week Cricketing Minds has analyzed the 4-0 whitewash of the Pakistan teamagainst England.
BattingThe graphs below showthe total runs Pakistan and England scored and total wickets lost in differentstages of the game.
England dominated the first 10 overs by scoring 203 runs forthe loss of just 1 wicket in the 4 ODIs combined at 5.075 runs per over. Onceknown as the best in the business for picking up early wickets, Pakistan arenow struggling in the fast bowling department. England on the other hand hasfound an excellent opening partner in Pietersen for Cook.
During the same stage of the game, English bowlers were able to pick up 8Pakistani wickets at a cost of 169 runs only. It matters less that 4 of thesewickets came in the first ODI itself and Finn was the chief destroyer, pickingup 6 of these wickets. Once again that shows how superior the English fastbowlers performed compared to their counterparts when it came to utilizing the new ball.Surprisingly Pakistan did slightly better than Englandbetween overs 11-20 where Pakistan scored 7 less runs but more importantly lost3 less wickets too.
This is the stage when Misbah employed his strike bowlers Afridi and Ajmal whowere able to contain England and also pick up wickets. But Pakistan was unableto maintain the pressure in the next stage. In ODIs, the most important phase of the game is the middlestage (Overs 21-35) where a game is usually decided. Unfortunately for Pakistanthey lost 12 wickets during this stage of the game which had a major impact ontheir runrate as well. England on the other hand mastered the middle stage playwith the bat by scoring over 300 runs for the loss of just 2 wickets at 5.02RPO.
For Pakistan to winODI games, their batsmen have to put a higher price on their wickets and placean importance of occupying the crease during these middle overs. Their onlydecent performance during this stage of the game came in the 3rd ODIwhen they scored 68 runsfor the loss of only 1 wicket.
Because Pakistanhad already made a mess of their batting by the end of the 35th over, the followingstages mattered less because by the start of the 36th over (mostly with thebatting powerplay) Pakistan would be at least 4 wickets down already. [Breakdownof Paks scores at the end of 35th over: 130/10, 151/4, 157/5 and 153/4]. Enteringthe batting powerplay and last 10 overs with 4-5 wickets down restricts thebatsmen to play their shots and not make the best use of the fieldingrestrictions. Hence, only two things can happen as a result: (i) Your batsmenplay too many shots to accelerate and lose wickets as a result OR (ii) Playdefensive cricket and let the run rate to drop even further which puts extrapressure to accelerate during last 10 overs.Thebest way to counter this problem would be to keep at least 7-8 wickets in hand whenentering the last 15 overs. Which is exactly what England did and hence theywere successful throughout. [Breakdown of Engs scores at the end of 35thover: 169/2, 154/2, 203/1 and 158/4].
Analysis ofboundaries hit
This table shows the % of runs scored in boundaries by eachbatsman. It must be a shame for UmarAkmal to sit at the bottom of this table despite being known for his aggressivenature. I am not surprised to see Malik and Misbah at the bottom as well. Malikhas not been able to middle the ball ever since his forceful comeback. Misbahon the other hand needs to find innovative ways to score more boundaries androtate the strike in ODIs rather than his usual tuk-tuk. Defensive play may bring him success in Tests, but Mohali2011 should have been a lesson for him that the tuk-tuk strategy mostly fails in ODIs.
Partnerships
Partnerships are crucial in any format of cricket. I am notsure why the Pakistanbatsmen fail to acknowledge the importance of partnerships in ODIs. Pakistans bestpartnership came in the last ODI when Azhar Ali and Asad Shafiq added 111 forthe 2nd wicket. What is noteworthy here is that there were only 450+ partnerships for Pakistanduring the 4 ODIs. Whereas, Englandhad 9 50+ partnerships.
Analysisof Extras Conceded
Ajmal has been Pakistans standout bowler. But ifthere is some area of improvement for him then that is extras. World's No 1 ODI Bowler will not be proud of being at the top of this list. Pakistansfast bowlers lack of ability to pick up early wickets has already beenmentioned as a reason for concern. But they also need to work on their widesand no-balls, especially Wahab Riaz who conceded 5 extras in just 7 overs.
Analysis of Maidens bowled
This table shows the percentage of maidens bowled by thePakistani and English bowlers during the 4 ODIs. The top four slots areoccupied by the English bowlers. This shows that despite favorable conditionsthe Pakistani bowlers were unable to choke the English batsmen by drying up theruns. The strategy of containing opposition batsmen and drying up the flow ofruns was successful against Zimbabwe,Sri Lanka and Bangladesh lastyear. However, against quality batsmen such as Cook, Pietersen and Trott thisstrategy was clearly difficult to implement. Hence, Pakistan needs to think of otherstrategies to pick up wickets.
Other interestingstats
Pakistanaveraged 20.48 runs per wicket and 27.6 balls per wicket which is extremelypoor and reflects inconsistency and the fact that the batsmen were unable tobuild partnerships. Englandshould be commended for their efforts with the ball throughout the 4 ODIs. Pakistancan take pride in dropping fewer catches than England. Umar Akmal dropped Cookoff Afridi in the 2nd ODI and Azhar Ali dropped Pietersen in the 3rdODI. Both of them went on to score match winning centuries. Umar Akmal alsomissed a stumping chance of Bopara in the 1st ODI who went on tobuild a century partnership with captain Cook. Englanddropped 5 catches: Patel dropped Afridi in the 1st ODI. Broadcouldnt hold on to a tough chance offered again by Afridi in 2ndODI. Kieswetter did an Akmal when he dropped Umar Akmal in 3rd ODI.Cook and Pietersen were guilty of dropping Rahman and Misbah in the lastODI.
Conclusion
Pakistanfailed to perform with the bat, ball and most importantly with the mind.Perhaps, Misbah can learn from Jayawardne who is being appreciated and rewardedfor his aggressive captaincy and field settings despite having weaker bowlingresources. Here is something for your food for thought: It were thesesame English batsmen who struggled on the same surface against the same bowlersa few days ago when the field was up. So what changed during these few days? The answer to that question in my opinion is defensivecaptaincy. Feel free to share your opinion with us and the answer to the abovefood for thought question.
Follow us on Twitter: www.twitter.com/CricketingMinds
In Part 1: we used numbers to calculate theprobabilities of English batsmen being dismissed by various Pakistani bowlersand their modes of dismissals.
Now we use the same methodology to do a PakBatsmen v Eng Bowlers analysis.
(NOTE: England doesnt have a Left arm Fastbowler (LF) in their ODI squad and hence there is no column for a LF in thesetables)
On 13th Feb when Gul runs in to bowl, what arethe chances of him dismissing Cook? What are the chances of Cook getting bowledor LBW?
This week Cricketing Minds has taken a slightly differentapproach towards statistical analysis and compiled tables which would list outthe probability of eachPakistan bowler dismissing an English Batsman and the mode of their dismissal.
So when youd be watching the game live secretly in collegeor office cubicle or while relaxing on your couch, you can use these tables topredict the fall of wickets and mode of dismissals.
As Indiasuccumbed to another 4-0 whitewash, fans and critics are trying to figure outwho to blame for this miserable performance. A lot of the focus has been on theperformances of VVS Laxman, who is considered to be Indias all-time greats, and partof the big three.
Team mates andcoaches have stepped in on his defence, saying that just like any other greatplayer Laxman will bounce back when it matters most. The fact that the team hasfailed as a whole has also helped Laxman, since there are people who suggestthat the team should be blamed as a whole and not one person.
The true question,however, is that should Laxman be considered as a batting great of his generation? Here atCricketingMinds, we believe that Laxman is just an average batsman in the contextof other great players, and we have the numbers to prove it.Some of thestandards shared by the greats of the game:
1 - Minimum of 20 test centuries2 - A century against all test playing nations3 - High rate of scoring centuries4 - Low rate of scoring ducks5 - Away average of 406 - Overall average of 507 - Consistent performance
A first look at Laxmans statistics shows that he isbelow the mark in 5 of the first 6 criteria listed above. Lets look at eachpiece one by one.
Minimum of 20 Test Centuries - FAILA great batsman is one who is able to convert starts intobig valuable knocks. Tendulkar, Ponting, Kallis and Dravid have over 35 Testcenturies.
Laxman has played 134 test matches and scored only 17centuries. Rahul Dravid, on the other hand, has scored 36 centuries and hasonly 33 more matches. Laxman will have to score a century in less than every 2matches just to equal that number. In fact, even Virender Sehwag, who has onlyplayed 96 test matches, has scored 22 centuries in a relatively shorter career.
A century againstall Test playing nations - FAIL
Tendulkar, Dravid, Ponting and Kallis have all scored big inall conditions against all Test playing nations. Laxman on the other hand hasfailed to score a century against England(Hs: 75 in Ahemadabad) and minnows Bangladesh(Hs: 69* in Chittagong). Note that some of thegreats like Matthew Hayden, Sehwag and Inzamam fail to satisfy thiscriterion but do well on the other criteria all of them have more than 20test centuries.
High rate ofscoring centuries - FAIL
Laxman takes approximately 13.11 innings to score everycentury. This happens to be almost twice as many innings per century than someof the following players:
Batsman # Innings/Century Tendulkar 6.05 Ponting 6.85 Kallis 6.2 Dravid 7.8 Avg for top 66 centurions 8.2
As can be seen by the table above, the number of inningsthat Laxman takes to score a century is really high. In fact, amongst the top66 Test centurions, only Alec Stewart does worse than Laxman scoring acentury every 15.7 innings.
This begs the question then, why do the socalled experts of the game (and fans alike) talk about Laxman as being abatsman who makes big scores and punishes the opposition when hes on song,when hes only scored 17 centuries in 134 test matches? Its simple; he has doneit when the spotlight was on him. Laxman has happened to have made a couple of big scoresagainst Australiaat times when he was about to get the axe. The media starts talking about theend of Laxman, and in his last chance, he happens make a big score in aninnings which is nothing short of commendable. When this happens, it seems thatthe cricket experts are willing to forgive the number of times Laxman hasfailed to live up to the expectations. No one remembers his repeated failuresand instead choose to focus on his heroics of one innings. Its just part ofhuman nature, everyone likes a comeback.
Low rate of scoringducks -FAIL
A great batsman is one who is considered a prize wicket byhis opposition, and one who knows how to put his opposition on the back footearly on. VVS Laxman, however, knows how to give his opponents an early drinksbreak and happens to be quite kind to the scorers as well. Laxman has a reallylow number of innings per duck, and compared to some of the top batsmen of hisgeneration, hes known to make quiet exits on a frequent basis.
On average, Laxman registers a duck every 15.9innings.
Batsman # Innings/Duck Tendulkar 22.07 Ponting 17.1 Kallis 19.5 Dravid 35.5 Avg for top 66 centurions 20.1 Laxman 15.9
Overall Away Average of 40 -PASS
Laxman passes the criterion of an overall away Test average of over 40to be a great batsman. He has scored heavily against the mighty Australians in Australiawhere he averages 44.14. He averages the most in Sri Lanka (48.18) and West Indies(47.75). What is notable isthat Laxman doesnt average more than 50 in any country except at Home and heaverages only 39 in Bangladesh.This shows he hasnt been able to capitalize against weak oppositions.
Overall Average of 50 -FAIL.
This is perhaps themost arguable of the points we are seeking to make. Yet, it is the mostcritical one in this argument, since it ties in very closely with the mostsubjective criteria A great player isknown to be consistent, and can cash in with a run of big scores when in form.The batting greats from Laxmans era, such as Sachin Tendulkar, Ricky Ponting,Jacque Kallis, Rahul Dravid, all have had not just good series, but great yearswhen theyve made bucket load of runs. Ponting during his golden run had back to back years withaverages of over 70 during 2002-2003 and scored over 1000 runs in 2005-2006.
Kallis averages the most amongst these great batsmen (57.02from 150 Test matches).
Dravid has averaged over 50 in Tests for 5 continuous years(2002-2006). This speaks volume about Dravids class. In 2003 Dravid averagedover a 100 including a match winning 233 and 72* vs Australiaat Adelaide.
Using numbers to prove Tendulkars greatness would be justwaste of space. VVS Laxman, on theotherhand, has not managed to achieve an average of 50 despite playing 134 Testmatches, a mark that top players have been able to maintain despite extendedpatches of poor runs in their careers.
Consistency
(a) Runs scored:Year-by-Year
Only once during his 17 year career has Laxman hammered over1000 runs in a calendar year (2008). To prove the point of Laxmans lack ofconsistency, in 2007 and 2009 Laxman couldnt even score 500 Test runs. Tendulkar haspounded over 1000 Test runs in a calendar year 6 times in his career. Tendulkarwas most consistent between 1997 and 2002, when he scored 1000 or more runs 4times. Dravid on the other hand has worked hard to score 1000 ormore Test runs in a calendar year 3 times in his career. Kallis and Ponting have achieved this 5 times in their careers; With Pontingscoring back-to-back 1000+ runs in 2002-2003 and again in 2005-2006.
(b)Average (Home, Away and Overall): Year-by-Year
The table below shows that Laxman has averaged a mere24.06 for the first four years of his career, spanning from 1996-1999. It wasonly after this point that he started making meaningful contributions to theteam. In 2000, his away average spiked to 87, but that was not a result ofconsistency, but rather one good performance against australia where he scored acentury. Even then, he was unable to get his team over the line.
A more general observation, Laxman during the peak ofhis career, never seemed to have a purple patch where he would be on a tearof scoring runs at an average of 70+ for a couple of years. His best year was in2003, where he averaged 85, but that was followed by an out of form calendaryear performance with an average of 32.06. His average at home was 18.88, whichis more significant because Indiaplayed more matches at home that year.
His next best year was in 2009,but once again, it wasnt because Laxman played spectacularly throughout theyear and dominated oppositions repeatedly, but rather because of a condensedschedule where he played only six matches in the entire year. This good yearcame for him after a gap of 6 years; again showing his lack of consistency. Italso shows that he has never really been a threat to his opposition on aregular basis.
Note that we have saved Laxman from some embarrassment by excluding his performance in the 3 Tests he has played so far in 2012.
(c) Percentage of runs scored in last 6 series:
Indian Batsmen %'s in Last 6 Series Laxman Dravid Sachin 12.24 16.09 14.22
In Indiaslast 6 series, Dravid has been their main man scoring 16.09 % of the teamruns. Whereas Laxmans contribution is worth just 12.24% which is lower thanboth Sachin Dravids contribution.
NOTE: These stats take into account all the innings played which resulted in India being allout, chased a score successfully in the 3rd or 4th inningsor the case where the batsman was dismissed. There was a case or two where India justplayed out 30 overs to secure a draw.
% of Team Total Laxman Dravid Sachin 30% 4 6 3 20-30% 3 5 6 10-20% 6 9 5 10% 20 15 14
In Indiaslast 6 series, on 20 occasions Laxman has scored less than 10% of the teamtotal which is the highest compared to Dravid (15) and Sachin (14).
Note that Sachin played less games than Dravid or Laxman and hence he has scored lessthan 10% runs of the team 14/28 times, Dravid 15/35 times, and Laxman 20/33times.These stats reflect the mediocrity of Laxman and whyhe is the likeliest candidate, amongst Indias big 3, to be shown the exitdoor.
(d) 4th innings analysis
Indian players in 4th innings
Laxman Sachin Dravid Ganguly Sehwag Overall 40.76 38.75 40.78 37.56 30.28 Wins 100.5 72.55 56.77 70.75 40.44 Wins + draws 83.87 53.1 67.68 85.83 38 Losses 21.61 23.4 21.22 20.52 16.55
Laxman can be considered Indias most dependable when itcomes to 4th innings despite his recent slump. He averages more thanSachin, Sehwag and Ganguly and is par with Dravids 4th inningsefforts. What is notable is Laxmans performance in the 4th inningswhen Indiahas won he averages over 100 which is much better than Sachin, Dravid,Ganguly and Sehwag. This would give the reader an impression that Laxman playscrucial match winning knocks in the 4th innings.
But how true is this statement?
(e) Laxman in Match-WinningInnings
For all the 50+scores of Laxman, a match winning innings is one in which:
Indiahas won and either:
(i) Laxman has scored more than 25% of the teams runs in 1st, 2ndor 3rd innings, or
(ii) scored a 50+ 4th innings total in a successful run chase. Laxman has batted 259 times in Test cricket and only17 times he has managed to produce a Match-Winning knock satisfying the abovecriteria. This translates to show that when Laxman goes out tobat, the probability of him scoring a match winning 50+ score is 0.065 (6.5%)
(f) Laxman in Match-SavingInnings
For all the 50+scores of Laxman, a match saving innings is one in which:
Indiahas drawn and either:(i) In 1st or 2nd innings: Laxman has batted during acrisis (collapse) OR
(ii) In 1st or 2nd innings or 3rd innings:Laxman has scored a 100 which is more than 25% of the teams total OR
(iii) In 1st or 2nd innings: Laxman has scored a 50 whichis more than 40% of the teams total OR
(iv) In 3rd innings: Laxman has batted during a crisis (Note: Thereshould be an attempted 4th innings chase by the opposition) OR
(v) In 3rd innings: Laxman has scored a 50 which is more than 30% ofthe teams total (Note: There should be an attempted 4th inningschase by the opposition) OR
(vi) In 4th innings: Laxman has scored 50 or more which is more than30% of the teams total in order to save India from a loss. Out of the 259times Laxman has batted, he has produced a match saving innings only 11 timeswhich satisfies the above criteria.
This translates to show that when Laxman goes out to bat, the probability ofhim scoring a match saving 50+ score is 0.042 (4.2%)(You can contact us to seethe full list of these match winning and match saving innings)
Conclusion
Contrary to popular belief that Laxman is a greatbatsman, the numbers in this article argue that Laxman might have shownglimpses of greatness but has failed to live up to the standards set by thegreat batsmen of his generation. The table below summarizes Laxmans failure to grabthe chance of being named amongst legendary batsmen like Tendulkar, Ponting,Kallis and Dravid.
Criteria Judgement Min. 20 Test Centuries Fail Test Century vs All Test Playing Nations Fail High Rate of Scoring 100s Fail Low Rate of Scoring 0s Fail Away Average 40 Pass Overall Average 50 Fail Consistency Poor
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