The Global Barrel | The Global Oil Gas Systems Economics Geopolitics USA, OPEC, Russia, EU, China
Time 2021-11-22 08:14:14Web Name: The Global Barrel | The Global Oil Gas Systems Economics Geopolitics USA, OPEC, Russia, EU, China
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keywords: description:The Global Oil & Gas Systems' Economics & Geopolitics - USA, OPEC, Russia, EU, China, Venezuela The Global Barrel The Global Oil Gas Systems Economics Geopolitics USA, OPEC, Russia, EU, China, Venezuela Skip to content HomeAbout Me Dr. Thomas W. ODonnell, PhD Older posts My Kyiv interview: PUTIN WAS BLUFFING HE COULD SAVE EUROPE: Dr. Tom ODonnell on Nord Stream 2, hydrogen nuclear energy[Kosatka.Media] November 20, 2021 Leave a commentHeres my extended interview in Kyiv with two great Kosatka.Media journalists [Read in UA, RU]
18 NOVEMBER 2021 — AUTHOR YAROSLAV MARKIN, TETIANA HUZENKO In 2021, the energy sector of Ukraine faced myriad threats related to the completion of Nord Stream 2, increasing gas prices and coal shortage just before the heating season. At the same time, green trends require decarbonizing the industry and developing the hydrogen direction.
Kosatka.Media discussed what direction is better for Ukraine, whether it should wait for the protection against Nord Stream 2, and where global green trends could take us, with Dr. Thomas W. ODonnell, international expert and senior energy and geopolitics analyst at GlobalBarrel.com, who participated in the Ukraine Gas Investment Congress held in late October in Kyiv.
One of the key messages at the congress is that whatever the ‘green’ trends are, gas is a transition fuel and we will use it for a long time. Are there any other case scenarios? How should Ukraine act in this situation?In the long run, we want to have a world thats not dependent on hydrocarbons. The worst hydrocarbon is lignite and brown coal. And thats what people s\should concentrate on eliminating. Natural gas in fact is a great way to eliminate coal.
Its actually an improvement for Ukraine, not only because of global warming, because of CO2, but also for the health of the people since natural gas does not produce environmental pollution. So, increasing the use of natural gas (or also nuclear energy) in a country like Ukraine is to the benefit of the environment and to the peoples health.
However, Ukraine is not a typical European country, it is a country that unfortunately is at war. In such a situation, it has found an intelligent way to access natural gas, which is virtual reverse flow.
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Posted in Climate Change, Energiewende, Energy and Environment, Energy and Geopolitics, Energy and Geostrategy, Environment, EU gas, Euroepen Union, gas crisis, Gazprom, gazprom, geopolitics, hydrogen, Nord Stream, Nord Stream 2, Nuclear power, Oil prices, Resource conflicts, Russia, Ukraine, Uncategorized
Tagged Energy, gas crisis, Gazprom, hydrogen, Naftogaz, Nord Stream, Nord Stream 2, nuclear enery, Nuclear power, Putin, Russia, Ukraine
Im quoted-at-length: EXPLAINER: Europe lacks natural gas. Is it Russias fault? [Associated Press] Putin acts like the EUs Gas Godfather during a shortagecrisis. November 17, 2021 Leave a commentThis AP article today quotes me (about half way in, marked in red) on Nord Stream 2, on Putin acting like the EUs gas godfather, and on the implications for the EU gas crisis. Its in numerous USA local papers. A nice job by APs DAVID McHUGH (Frankfurt) and VLADIMIR ISACHENKOV (Moscow).
FRANKFURT, Germany Europe is short of natural gas — dangerously short. A cold winter could mean a severe crunch, and utility bills are headed higher, burdening ordinary people and weighing on the economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has promised to help fill European gas storages as energy prices soar — but supply shortages and political tensions have continued to rattle energy markets, keeping prices high. Thats pinched businesses and forced them to pass along costs to customers already facing higher bills at home.
With Europe dependent on imported gas and Russia supplying 40% or more of those imports, Putin has leverage. He’s said the new pipeline already is filled with gas and could help increase supplies “the day after” it’s approved.
Here are important factors behind the gas crisis:
HOW DID EUROPE GET INTO THIS MESS?
Multiple reasons. One was a cold winter that drained gas reserves, which are used to generate electrical power and typically replenished in summer. That didn’t happen this year.
Hot weather drained more gas than usual through demand for air conditioning. Less wind meant less renewable electricity, leading generators to reach for gas fuel. Limited supplies of liquid natural gas, an expensive option that can be delivered by ship instead of pipeline, were snapped up by customers in Asia.
On top of that, Europe for years has pushed for day-to-day spot pricing, instead of long-term contracts. Russian-controlled gas giant Gazprom has fulfilled those long-term contracts but hasn’t pumped additional gas beyond that. Putin says customers who have those contracts pay much less for gas than other buyers.
Prices were seven times higher in October than they were at the beginning of the year and have eased to about four times higher lately.
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Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Energy, geopolitics, Germany
Kyiv Video: I moderated the EU-Ukraine debate: Thinking Beyond Tomorrow–Energy Transition Ukraine Gas Investment Congress,22.10.21 November 16, 2021 Leave a commentI moderated this very lively frank panel at the Ukraine Gas Investment Congress (UGIC) in Kyiv on 22 October 2021. [The high-level event participants are listed below].
I thoroughly enjoyed this lively debate, and learned a good deal. Its an hour long; but I think it is well worth a watch, especially as the debate gets going.
PANEL PARTICIPANTS
* Torsten Wöllert, Minister Counsellor; Energy, EU Delegation to Ukraine
* Olga Bielkova , Director on Government International Affairs Gas Transmission System Operator (GTSOU)
* Oleksiy Ryabchyn (Rye ab chen), Advisor to the Chairman of the Board, Naftogaz of Ukraine
* Sergiy Nahorniak, (Nach hor niak) MP and Chairman of the Subcommittee on Energy Conservation and Energy Efficiency Verkhovna (Ver kavna) Rada Committee on Energy and Housing and Communal Services
* Steve Freeman, Head of Energy Transition, Digital and Integration Schlumberger
* Dr. James Watson , Secretary General, Eurogas
* Moderator: Dr. Thomas ODonnell, Hertie School of Governance, Berlin; and Energy and International Affairs Analyst
It was a respectful but clearly exasperating confrontation, a between contradictory imperatives pitting:
a) Ukraines necessity to boost its domestic natural gas production in the interests of its national security and independence, and the peoples social-economic needs,
against
b) The demands from Brussels and especially from highly developed Western-EU Member States insisting that Ukraine abandon all fossil fuels (including gas) ASAP,
Green-Deal-inspired insistence by Brussels for rapid gas-abandonment imposes the difficulty or outright banning of financing for increasing Ukraines domestic gas production. Many EU-zone financial institutions cannot any longer finance upstream projects (EP: exploration and production), including the World Bank, whose representative pointed out earlier at the Congress that his institution is now outright banned from making such investments.
Nevertheless, no one on my panel, or throughout the Congress disagreed that, for the foreseeable future, investments in new upstream natural gas exploration and production are precisely what Ukraine urgently needs. The constant threats from Moscow, of Putin, his energy ministry and Gazprom to end transit of Russian gas to the EU via Ukraine would make the present virtual reverse flow: method by which Ukraine obtains much of its natural gas, so vital for electricity generation but especially for citizens winter heating, will become impossible.
This is whey how to raise financing for domestic new gas EP was precisely the urgent topic of this Congress organized by Naftogaz, the state natural gas company.
What is Ukraine to do? Is this fair?
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Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Energy, finance taxonomy, geopolitics, Germany, green deal
UPDATE: Gazprom begins tepid filling of EU gas storage. Transparency lacking from EUs main supplier duringcrisis. November 10, 2021 Leave a commentFirst: My Euronews 8 November interview is also in Hungarian Italian Spanish (posted here) and English (yesterdays post)
1. Factual Update:
The interview was on Monday with no evidence of Gazprom filling EU storage on the date promised. Today, Wednesday, Gazprom has begun filling at least two of five promised EU storage sites.
To the best of my knowledge, from various sources who follow the industry and/or politics of this closely:
Gazprom began using its recently unused Yamal pipeline, flowing 30mcm/day (million cubic meters per day) to the Mallnow, Germany pumping station. This Russia-Belarus-Poland-Germany. pipeline, has a total capacity of 85 mcm/day (31 bcm/year billion cubic meters per year).Gazprom also applied to use its previously booked-and-paid-for but also recently unused capacity across Ukraine under the December 2019 transit contract with Naftogaz of 40 bcm/year (109.3 mcm/day). Of this, :Velke Kapusany, Slovakia station is receiving 92mcm/day, with SE Poland and Moldova receiving 18 mcm/day.Gazprom is flowing via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline (directly from Russia into Germany via the Baltic Sea) 165mcm/day. This would be 60 bcm/year if continuous with no annual maintenance downtime, but its annual nameplate capacity is 55 bcm).I recommended the article Gazprom makes slow start on boosting gas supplies to Europe: Markets react tepidly as volumes remain too low to stave off supply fears, by Max Seddon in Moscow, David Sheppard in London, and Roman Olearchyk in Kyiv (paywall, perhaps a few articles free/month)2. My Analytical Points:This is well below the total flow Gazprom was routinely sending in recent years via Yamal (31 bcm) plus via Ukrainian pipes (89.6 bcm in 2019, and 55.8+ bcm in 2020)Thus, these are not yet surge supplies; it is not yet a concerted effort to urgently replenish the EUs worryingly low gas storage levels before winter gets colder and in the likely event winter winds will drop significantly as they did last year, requiring still-more gas, for electrical generation. (This combination ran the then-nearly full EU and Ukrainian storages to very low levels, which have still not been replenished sufficiently for this winter.).Such drama and uncertainty from Europes main energy supplier when it needs reliability and transparency is heghly problematic (though, of course, Europe and especially Berlin have been amply warned about this high degree of dependence on Gazprom)..Oh, and note that the USA is evidently quite concerned about the Russian troop buildup on Ukraines border. However, the EU seems at a complete loss, absolutely absent from joining with the Biden Administration in dissuading Mr. Putin from some new aggression. Continue reading Rate this:Share this:TwitterFacebookRedditEmailLinkedInMorePinterestTumblrPocketPrintLike this: Loading...Leave a comment
Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Energy, geopolitics, Germany, Russia, United States
My Euronews TV: Putin said Gazproms would fill its critically low EU gas storage from 8 Nov. It isnt. Instead he is massing troops on Ukrainesborder. November 9, 2021 2 commentsMy interview with Euronews of 08.11.21, on Gazprom Putins refusal to begin filling gas storage in the EU. This is the only way to diminish the possibility of a gas crisis, of serious heating and electricity shortages should we have another cold and windless winter.
Putin, as always, is the decider.
I said: No one knows his game. Will he send his ample gas supplies to Europe, now that Russian storage is filled as of 7 Nov.?
This is a serious issue of the reliability and transparency of Gazprom and Putins Russia the supplier of about 40% of Europes imported gas,
The person who invaded Ukraine in 2014 now refuses to send gas across Ukraine. He now has the gas available it and Ukraine is even offering him a 50% discount on transit fees. This could significantly help to alleviate Europes looming winter energy crisis.
However, instead, Putin has now put large numbers of Russian troops on Ukraines borders, de facto threatening the country in recent weeks. The Biden administration is alarmed. It sent CIA director Burns to speak directly to Putin in Moscow a very unusual event. See CNN here.
This is a serious energy and security situation for Europe and for Ukraine. Shortfalls of winter gas in storage, and also coal in Ukrainian storage is a threat to citizens heat and electricity supplies.
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Posted in Uncategorized
Tagged Energy, gas crisis, Gazprom, geopolitics
Theres no 2021-22 Nord Stream 2 option: Only way to avert EU gas crisis for Gazprom not to waste its huge domestic-production-surge investment is for Moscow to take Kyivs offer of 50% cut in transit fees, flooding the EU with gas from 7November. October 29, 2021 Leave a comment Putins recent gas-Godfather-like statements that Nord Stream 2 could alleviate the current European natural gas price and supply crisis is an obvious attempt to pressure the EU to rush Nord Stream 2 approval in ways violating the EUs own rule of law. As a Polish expert wrote in 2019,: The amendment to the [European Unions] gas directive explicitly confirms that EU law applies in the case of Nord Stream 2 (that is, to the section running through German territorial sea), including the rules on unbundling, third-party access, independent operators et al.: (Agata Łoskot-Strachota, The gas directive revision: EU law poses problems for Nord Stream 2, OSW, Warsaw, 21.02.2-19.). However, Putins hubris should be taken with a grain of salt. In reality, his options in this regard are subject to current technical-economic constraints of the Russia gas sector, as my research had indicated in recent weeks. Russian domestic storage was announced to be at 97% full mid-last-week due to its continuing all-out Gazprom filling campaign, reportedly at the high rate of about 300 million cubic meters/day (mcm/d). The plan had been to finish by 1 November.. Thereafter, this maxed-out production has to immediately be choked off or be sent somewhere else and indeed there is only one option; but it is not Nord Stream 2 One caveat: a recently announced 7 November Gazprom export start date did not made sense. Where would the maxed out production flows go from 1 to 7 November? However, an article yesterday by Bloomburg [possible paywall] clarifies Gazprom said Wednesday that the Russian re-injection campaign would be a week longer than the original Nov. 1 conclusion. This is quite plausible it is simply taking an extra six days to top off Russian domestic storage. So to reiterate points I have stressed over the past few weeks (e.g., at Naftogaz Ukraine Gas investment Congress closing panel in Kyiv last Thursday-Ill put a video of this here soon- and in various interviews): First, while Putin has relished playing the gas-mafia Godfather (e.g., at the St Petersburg gas conference two weeks ago), asserting that, if Nord Stream 2 is rapidly approved, Gazprom exports could save Europe this winter, he has been merely posturing as the strongman decider. He wanted to appear to be craftily withholding extra, non-contracted gas supplies needed to fill the companys storage facilities in Germany and throughout the EU, all still now at worryingly low levels long after the traditional filling season ended at the start of October.Continue reading
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Posted in Energy and Geopolitics, EU gas, Euroepen Union, gas crisis, Gazprom, gazprom, Germany, LNG, Naftogaz, Nord Stream 2, Renewables, Russia, Ukraine, Uncategorized
Tagged Energy, gas crisis, Gazprom, geopolitics, Germany, nagtogaz, Putin
My Kongres590/Warsaw talk: Building a Joint Three-Seas-Initiative Nuclear Energy RD-and-Training Center [Polish English] October 16, 2021 Leave a commentCooperation in energy transformation and trade to increase the economic strength of the Three Seas Region
Kongres590 Warsaw 14 October 2021
Moderator: prof. dr. hab. Zbigniew Krysiak, Chairman of the Program Council of the Institute of Schuman ThoughtPanellists:Dr. Thomas W. ODonnell, (PhD Nuclear Physics; Lecturer in Berlin Energy Geopolitical Analyst),Julius Zellah, (President of the Light for Africa Online Foundation)Paweł Kotowski, (Deputy Director of the Department of Economic Cooperation, Ministry of Foreign Affairs)Jarosław Malczewski, (President of the Polish Dairy Group),Dr. Krzysztof Malczewski, (President of the B-2M Company)
Key points of my talk:
1. Poland has no previous experience in nuclear energy; and this is a difficult problem that needs to be tackled starting now. Also, any institute needs a sufficient scale to guarantee both high standards and employment security to those trained for industry, academia, safety, and planning. It is for this reason that nuclear training in Poland should be done jointly, together with all 12 of the Three Seas Initiative members (i.e., the eastern EU member states, and this may soon include also Ukraine many of which countries already have established nuclear programs). And, as part of the Three Seas Initiative, this means also in conjunction with the USA, in particular its Department of Energy with a vast network of nationl laboratories and obviously decades of nuclear experience to draw on. Continue reading
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Posted in Ehergiewende, Energy and Environment, Energy and Geopolitics, Environment, EU gas, Euroepen Union, Germany, Renewables, Renewables, The USA, Three Seas, Ukraine, UMNERS, Uncategorized
Tagged Energy, energy transition, geopolitics, Green Finance Taxonomy, JRC, Nuclear, Nuclear engineering, Poland, Three Seas Initiative, UMNERS, United States, Univeristy of Michigan
My Al Jazeera Live: EU Gas Crisis 2021: Too many windmills w/o wind, a cold winter hot summer drained EU Russian storage. While Putin fills his, EU goes back to coal prices soar. [Arabic English] October 11, 2021 Leave a commentVideo In Arabic Audio above has English interpreters and my voice in English.
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Posted in AlJazeera, Alternative energy, Climate Change, Economic Crisis, Ehergiewende, Energiewende, Energy and Environment, Energy and Geopolitics, EU gas, Euroepen Union, Gazprom, Germany, Nord Stream 2, Nuclear power, Renewables, Renewables, Resource conflicts, Russia, shale gas, Ukraine, Uncategorized
Tagged al jazeera, Energy, gas crisis, gas storage, Gazprom, geopolitics, Germany, natural gas, nuclear energy, Putin, Russia, wind energy, windmills
My TRT StraightTalk: Nord Stream 2: Europes Energy crisis, Putins lever, Ukraines plight, Berlinscomplicity October 10, 2021 Leave a commentOn Friday, 8 October, I was interviewed, with Aura Sabadus (@ASabadus) of ICIS-London, about Nord Stream 2s impact on European energy politics onStrait Talk with TRT host Ayse Suberker. We discussed the geopolitical aims of Russian and German leaders for partnering on this pipeline.
I stressed, the issue is not whether Europe is dependent on Russian gas it is and it will remain so for the foreseeable future for up to 40% of its imports. The issue is what route this gas takes to arrive from Russia into Europe.
Consider: Russia historically exported 80% of the gas it sends to Europe using massive Soviet-era pipelines transiting Ukraine, the remainder via a Belarus-Poland-Germany pipeline. However, for 20 years Continue reading
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Posted in Belarus, Berlin, Energy and Geostrategy, EU gas, Euroepen Union, Gazprom, Germany, Global Oil system, Nord Stream, Nord Stream 2, Putin, Russia, The USA, Ukraine, Uncategorized, US Foreign Policy
Tagged angela merkel, Energy, Energy crisis, gas crisis, Gazprom, geopolitics, Germany, natural gas, Putin, Russia, Ukraine, United States
EU leaders will consider creating a strategic gas reserve [TVPoland explains I proposed this in August: Ukraine as a Central Bank ofEnergy] October 7, 2021 Leave a commentFor explanation of my proposal, go below to bold text on my August Tagesspiegel Op-Ed.
RAJA ME |
EU leaders will discuss the idea of creating a strategic EU gas reserve and decoupling electricity prices from gas prices, said the head of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen.
When it comes to gas, we are dependent on imports 90 percent. gas is imported. The economies in the world are growing, so is the demand. But the supply is not correspondingly greater. We are very grateful that Norway is increasing production, but it seems that this is not the case in Russia, noted the head of the European Commission, visiting Estonia. In her opinion, the solution to the problem are investments in renewable energy sources, which should make the Community independent of imports and stabilize prices.
In the short term, we will talk at the European Council, not only this evening (Tuesday), but in two weeks time at the formal Council of Europe, how to deal with storage, the strategic reserve and we will look at the overall price structure on the electricity market. Electricity prices are high due to high gas prices and we have to consider the possibility of (them) decoupling because we have much cheaper energy from renewable sources, said von der Leyen
On Tuesday evening, an informal meeting of European leaders will take place in Slovenia ahead of the EU-Western Balkans summit scheduled for Wednesday.
According to unofficial diplomatic sources in Brussels, Poland wants the European Commission to conduct investigations into the manipulation of the natural gas market by the Russian company Gazprom, which are causing the increase in gas prices in the EU. This issue is expected to appear at the EU summit on October 21-22.
Back in April, American energy market analyst Thomas ODonnell predicted that Russia would use gas supplies to build strategic domination. The EUs response should be to create a kind of gas central bank in Ukrainian warehouses and use this country as a buffer, he proposed.
Ukraine is a key element of the strategic gas reserve Shortly after the beginning of the Maidan revolution and the Russian aggression, Ukraine, with the support of the EU, quickly made technical modifications to the export pipelines to Slovakia, Poland, Hungary and Romania in such a way as to enable a reverse. This quickly freed Kiev from having no alternative to buying Russian gas, said the expert.
Moreover, the Kremlin cannot so easily promote favorable oligarchs he envisaged adding that the implementation of this idea was only a matter of legislation.
The EU could designate warehouses in Ukraine, Germany and France as the so-called strategic reserves that must always hold a certain minimum amount of gas. In the event of any aggression by Russia against Ukraine or other countries, these warehouses would be launched by a special EU-US committee or within the OECD, and Russian pipelines would be cut, the analyst suggested.
Gas belonging to Gazprom, which stores huge amounts of gas in Germany and other EU countries, should in this case be nationalized the expert believes.
Responding to the objection that such ideas sounded a bit fantastic, he explained that this is almost exactly how the international oil security system has operated for 50 years: in the event of a crisis, 90-day strategic oil reserves are deployed in each member state of the International Energy Agency.
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Posted in Energy and Environment, Energy and Geopolitics, Energy and Geostrategy, EU gas, Euroepen Union, Gazprom, Nord Stream 2, Poland, Putin, Russia, Ukraine, Uncategorized
Tagged Energy, Energy crisis, European Commission, European Union, Gazprom, Germany, Naftogaz, natural gas, Nord Stream 2, Poland, Putin, taggesspiegel background, Ukraine, ursula vonder leyen
Older posts Recent Posts My Kyiv interview: PUTIN WAS BLUFFING HE COULD SAVE EUROPE: Dr. Tom ODonnell on Nord Stream 2, hydrogen nuclear energy[Kosatka.Media] November 20, 2021 Im quoted-at-length: EXPLAINER: Europe lacks natural gas. Is it Russias fault? [Associated Press] Putin acts like the EUs Gas Godfather during a shortagecrisis. November 17, 2021 Kyiv Video: I moderated the EU-Ukraine debate: Thinking Beyond Tomorrow–Energy Transition Ukraine Gas Investment Congress,22.10.21 November 16, 2021 UPDATE: Gazprom begins tepid filling of EU gas storage. Transparency lacking from EUs main supplier duringcrisis. November 10, 2021 My Euronews TV: Putin said Gazproms would fill its critically low EU gas storage from 8 Nov. It isnt. Instead he is massing troops on Ukrainesborder. November 9, 2021 Theres no 2021-22 Nord Stream 2 option: Only way to avert EU gas crisis for Gazprom not to waste its huge domestic-production-surge investment is for Moscow to take Kyivs offer of 50% cut in transit fees, flooding the EU with gas from 7November. October 29, 2021 My Kongres590/Warsaw talk: Building a Joint Three-Seas-Initiative Nuclear Energy RD-and-Training Center [Polish English] October 16, 2021 My Al Jazeera Live: EU Gas Crisis 2021: Too many windmills w/o wind, a cold winter hot summer drained EU Russian storage. While Putin fills his, EU goes back to coal prices soar. [Arabic English] October 11, 2021 My TRT StraightTalk: Nord Stream 2: Europes Energy crisis, Putins lever, Ukraines plight, Berlinscomplicity October 10, 2021 EU leaders will consider creating a strategic gas reserve [TVPoland explains I proposed this in August: Ukraine as a Central Bank ofEnergy] October 7, 2021 Reply of IEAs Dr. Fatih Birol to my critical questions on Germanys 100% renewables no nuclear at P-TECC inWarsaw September 30, 2021 Video overview of my class: Energizing Europe. A critique of the German energy-transition model September 5, 2021 My TRT TV-London: Cold War espionage in Berlin? Plus Russias unique influence penetration of Germansociety August 29, 2021 My Warsaw Op-Ed: Nord Stream 2 deal marks a German win in setting allied strategy on Russia Ukraine | Niemcy nie boją się Rosji. Boją się ryzyka płynącego zUkrainy. August 22, 2021 My CGTN live: Merkel put Biden in a damned if you do, damned if you dont bind on Nord Stream 2deal July 25, 2021 My DW live: The US-German Bad Deal on Nord Stream 2Pipeline July 22, 2021 My TRT TV | Bidens Nord Stream 2 sanction waiver: Merkels price for unity before his Putinsummit June 12, 2021 My EuroNews: Why didnt Biden sanction Nord Steam 2 AG or German firms? The Biden-Putin Summit. Berlin-Moscow gas-alliance kills US climatepartnership. May 20, 2021 My Wikistrat Analysis: Erdogan reminded of Turkeys dependence on NATO/USA by Bidens recognition of Armeniagenocide May 4, 2021 My Op-Ed | Die Ukraine als „Zentralbank“ für europäische Energie | Ukraine as Central Bank for EuropeanEnergy April 8, 2021 China Russia stick with Venezuelas Maduro for the same reason the USA stuck with S. Viet Nam [My Energy Analytics InstituteQA] February 21, 2021 Could Nord Stream 2 be axed? My guest appearance on Roundtable -TRT TV,London February 21, 2021 I tell DW TV: Nord Stream 2 is geopolitical. Berlin Moscow aim to reroute Russia-to-EU gas around insecure Ukraine. February 21, 2021 The FT quotes my critique on: German green foundation joins efforts to complete Nord Stream2 February 8, 2021 Deutsche Welle News live: Will Nord Stream 2 ever becompleted? January 20, 2021 My interviews: Tagesspiegel Frankfurter Allgemeine (FAZ). Nord Stream 2 wont avoid US sanctions using a phony environmental foundation. January 20, 2021 My EuroNews #3: US Sanctions killing Nord Stream 2. Yet Berlin persists trying, withMoscow. January 7, 2021 My EuroNews QA: All German parties back Nord Stream 2 except Greens; USA says it frees Putin to subvert Ukraine Belarus December 9, 2020 My Al Jazeera comments: OPEC+ strikes delicate balance as UAE Russia defySaudis December 7, 2020 My EuroNews live interview: Contrary to Moscows disinformation bravado, Nord Stream 2 pipeline isdead. December 4, 2020 Nord Stream 2: Berlin-Washington Mutual Intransigence Shows Transatlantic Divide on Russia | My AICGSAnalysis October 10, 2020 EE UU v. Alemania: Sanciones y el oleoducto ruso Nord Stream 2 | Fui invitado en El Fundo de DWTV August 16, 2020 Im quoted by the FT | Germany warns new US sanctions endanger Nord Stream 2 pipeline. (As) serious interference in European sovereignty July 3, 2020 My interview: on US troops redeployed in Germany Poland | ODonnell: Żołnierze u granic Rosji to sygnał dla Kremla[Wywiad] July 1, 2020 Will Germany decide to unfreeze relations with Russia after the pandemic? Czy Niemcy zdecydują się na odmrożenie relacji z Rosją po pandemii? [Myinterview] May 9, 2020 Oil Price War 3: My AlJazeera spot on negative price, Putins rout, shale, and Trumps dilemma: independents v bigoil April 26, 2020 Decoding the Oil Price War 2: My Wikistrat webinar Oil Price War COVID Crisistranscript April 14, 2020 Decoding the Oil Price War 1: Moscow seized COVID crisis to hit US shale, force sanctionsrelief April 9, 2020 Europes Gas Crunch: The Pending Crisis Around Nordstream 2 UkraineTransit June 6, 2019 Washington interviews: Energy Relations of Russia, Germany, Poland Ukraine (KennanFellow) June 2, 2019 Venezuelan transition? My analysis on Germanys DW TV | Videos: español English March 1, 2019 Germany backs small-scale LNG import terminals despite opposition [my Kings College/EUCERSpaper] August 29, 2018 Germanys Real LNG Policy [My BPJanalysis] July 4, 2018 Putins OPEC tactics: Iran sanctions and the Saudis [IBD citesme] June 18, 2018 A Comment on: A Trans-Atlantic Manifesto in Times of Trump A German Perspective, by foreign policyexperts October 12, 2017 China’s big NOCs slash prices to take market from private oil refiners ~ Im quoted in China OilWeek July 31, 2017 Neue Neue Ostpolitik My BPJ piece on German fury at Senate NS2sanctions July 3, 2017 Trumps promise to stay totally independent of OPEC is populist hype [My IBDinterview] January 3, 2017 Putins new OPEC role reflects the toll of low oil prices on Russia [IBD quotesme] December 9, 2016 My CNNMoney quote 3 points: OPEC v shale, Russias new role Trump-buddy Hamm is pro Saudi priceband December 3, 2016 Categories Blogroll AQ | Americas Quarterly | My articles | NYC WashingtonAtlantic Council | Global Energy Program | WashingtonBerlin Policy Journal | by DGAP | BerlinCaracas ChroniclesCSIS | Center for Study of Strategic International Studies | Energy Program | WashingtonDevils ExcrementDGAP | German Council on Foreign Relations | BerlinKennan Institute | Woodrow Wilson Center | WashingtonLatin American Daily Briefing | Jordana Timerman | Buenos AiresMEES | Middle East Economic Survey | Oil GasSettys notebookThe Pan American Post | Geoff Ramsey | Defunct; archive to 2015. Now see Latin American Daily Briefing Links TomOD.com Homepage / CV / articlesRecent Courses / Syllabi
Revolution and War: Geopolitics of the Middle East and North Africa, 1951-2011 [Fall 2011, NYC] Latin American Development [Fall 2011, NYC]Geopolitics of Global Oil [Spring 2011, NYC] Environmental Economics [Spring 2011, NYC] From Venezuela to Saudi Arabia: Energy, Resources, Markets. [Spring 2011, Ohio State U]Latin American Development [Fall 2010 NYC] Oil and the Global Economy 2010 [Summer 2010, Ohio State U] Blog at WordPress.com. The Global Barrel Blog at WordPress.com. Follow Following The Global Barrel Already have a WordPress.com account? Log in now. The Global Barrel Customize Follow Following Sign up Log in Report this content View site in Reader Manage subscriptions Collapse this bar Loading Comments... %d bloggers like this:
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